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Today, I am going to revolutionize my industry.

Imagine what it must be like to be a prominent figure in the publishing industry, a person in a position of power, to be the guy or gal who could wake up and say:

“Today, I am going to revolutionize my industry.”

That person exists. It could be John Makinson. It could be Markus Dohle. Or Brian Murray.

J.K. Rowling is doing it, but she’s limiting her revolution to the Harry Potter industry.

At any rate, it doesn’t really matter who it is: People exist who are in a position to shake things up and turn the publishing industry on its head at a pivotal moment in time.

That, to me, is the dream.

It’s one thing to ride the resurgent wave of the mobile industry in the years after the introduction of the iPhone, or the computer industry after the iPad, but imagine what it must have been like to be Steve Jobs (or to have worked for him) once it had been decided that Apple was going to disrupt the mobile and computer industries? 

No, seriously: If you’re reading this and you’re the head of a publishing house, please imagine what it would be like to make the decision to fundamentally alter the direction of your industry.

The foundation has been laid: The Kindle Fire, the iPad, the Nook Color — all of these devices are platforms for this revolution. Any one of the people I’ve listed above could approach Apple, or Amazon, and lay out a grand plan to win the day. 

What happens if Brian Murray approaches Jeff Bezos, or Tim Cook (or both) and says:

Hey, Jeff. We’re nervous as hell about this, but if we don’t move, someone else will, and we’ve got some big ideas. We’d rather be bold and first than timid and last. The writing is on the wall regarding ebooks and we want to lead the charge. I know HarperCollins has been a bit behind the times and, yes, even downright stodgy when it comes to our embrace of digital content. That ends today.

Here’s what’s on the table: We’d like to bite the bullet and sell all our content DRM-free.

Go ahead and put a digital signature on it, but that’s all we’ll require. 

Next, we want to work more closely with Amazon. We want you to build a social platform for our books and put it on every Kindle you sell. You’ve got the user data, we’ve got the books. Charge a monthly subscription and give us a 50% cut. Any user who joins that service can then share their books with other users of the service, as often as they like, with the idea that you’ll manage the transactions.

Amazon has a record of who buys what, which means we can even authenticate purchases and ensure that people aren’t lending the same book out to more than one person at a time. We can iron out the details later, but that’s the gist of it.

Give your customers a platform to talk about our books. Our goal, then, is to create an army of consumer marketers for our content.

Here’s where it gets interesting, Jeff. If a user wants to use this service to sell their copy of a book to someone else on the service — make that possible. They’ll get a small cut, you’ll get your small cut, and we’ll get our usual bigger cut. Go ahead and make the user’s cut a credit for the Kindle store, though. That way, they come back and buy more books. You’ve got some smart people at Amazon and I’m confident you can work out a way to transfer ownership to the new user. Above all else, make this easy and fun to use.

Then, if Jeff Bezos won’t play ball, or if he won’t agree to negotiate the price of ebooks in a direction more favorable to HarperCollins, Tim Cook gets the same pitch.

This isn’t beyond the realm of possibility. Both Amazon and Apple could make this happen, given the opportunity. An independent developer with sufficient funds could make it happen, for that matter.

If Amazon launches this tomorrow, HarperCollins benefits tomorrow by being first to market and first to a sensible solution for monetizing the redistribution of their content amongst customers.

At some point, seeing the error of their hesitant ways, other publishers would negotiate their way into the platform. Eventually, Apple decides they’ve got to create something similar for iOS and Barnes & Noble follows suit. 

Sadly, the fact that something is possible doesn’t mean it’s likely. This can’t happen unless Brian Murray (or whoever) wakes up with a desire to flip the script.

I have to wonder, though: In a post-PC, post-paper world, if no one seems to be waking up with that grand vision — why are these people still leaders in their industry in the first place?

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“J.K. Rowling’s Radiohead moment…”

So says Wired about the news that J.K. Rowling will maintain complete control over the distribution of the Harry Potter ebooks:

The significance of the way in which these ebooks are being sold, meanwhile, cannot be overstated. Pottermore.com has allowed Rowling to neatly sidestep the middle man (Amazon), maintain complete control over pricing, scoop up nearly all the profits from royalties, and keep all the sales information and the further marketing opportunities that offers to herself. She will also more than likely do all of that at a price and quality that will leave her customers almost as delighted as her publishers (who remain on board) and her accountants. She’s even found a neat solution to the problem of copyright theft by using a digital watermarking system that links the identity of the purchaser to an individual ebook. There will be none of the sour taste and technical glitches associated with DRM software, and no punitive lawsuits – but there will be a real inducement to actually buy the book and an added element of shame for all who steal it. Wired magazine has called this “publishing’s Radiohead moment”. But it’s more than that. It’s publishing’s new Harry Potter moment. The Hogwarts’ Express money train is riding back into town.

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The topic of this article doesn’t really have anything to do with lending (at least not yet) but the hint that Harry Potter “might” be coming soon to an e-reader near you is making waves in the news, today.

Some of what is being said in the article warrants derision comment:

And publishing industry experts said they will transform the electronic market and easily net the author £100million.

Ah. “Experts.” It’ll be interesting to see who that refers to. Anyone want to place bets on whether it’s someone with actual insider knowledge?

By “transform the electronic market” do they mean we’ll see advances in ebook ownership rights? That this will pave the way for less restrictive lending features? Can we expect interoperability between various devices? Or, do they mean they’ll make more money than they’ve ever made before, selling a book to people who already paid a lot for it the first time they bought it?

Rowling’s spokeswoman said: “The ebook format is now something that is being actively considered.”

Squeeeee! And it only took them until 2011 to begin the process of actively considering the e-book format.

GAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAASP!

(We’d been holding our breath.)

Actually, raise your hand if you assumed the entire Harry Potter series was already available in a digital format. 

Rowling’s fortune is estimated at £620million but Liz Thomson, editor of book industry website BookBrunch, said ebooks would give her another windfall.

She said: “I wouldn’t be too surprised if the rights for the ebooks are sold for £100million.

Aha. Here we go. “Experts.” Okay, Liz Thompson, editor of BookBrunch, is the aforementioned expert. Whatever. Perhaps it wouldn’t be too surprising if that were the case, but it looks an awful lot as though the author of this article wrote the article first and then filled in the “experts” line with whoever provided the highest guess. (Later in the article, another “expert” is only willing to estimate that a deal could net Rowling “millions of pounds”. Quite a deviation.)

“Experts believe the move could revolutionise the world of electronic publishing, triggering rocketing sales of ebook readers such as the Kindle and the iPad.”

Experts think that, do they? They think that seven (admittedly, insanely popular) books which will sell for around $15-$20 (and which virtually everyone in the world already owns or has read) are going to trigger “rocketing sales” of devices that cost between $139 and $499 and which have been available for multiple years, now?

“It is akin to the Beatles allowing their music to be launched on iTunes - it really is that important.

This is why the opinions of industry experts should almost always be taken with a few thousand grains of salt.

The Beatles are, indeed, a great analogy, in that they, too, waited far too long to launch a digital presence, based primarily on absurd industry-based fears. To put this in perspective, Paul and Ringo completely missed out on the heyday of the iPod revolution which began in 2001. TEN YEARS! Virtually every major and minor band had already gone digital and the sudden appearance of “Hey Jude” was notable almost exclusively for its absurd tardiness. It affected absolutely no change whatsoever on the industry, and has had no discernible effect on the popularization of any given device.

No one, anywhere, said: “Well, I’ve been holding out on buying an iPod since 2001, but now that I can buy Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds from iTunes, it’s high time I wrote a check. My pen, Mavis!”

No one should applaud J.K. Rowling for this, or bow down as though she’s the savior of an industry. Instead, we should all be asking what the heck took so long, and wondering where we’d be today if she’d have gotten with the program two years ago, rather than waiting until other (better) writers paved the way for her arrival.